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One-Stop, In Theory: What the Evidence Asks of Namibia’s New Investor Board

March 18, 2020
One-Stop, In Theory: What the Evidence Asks of Namibia's New Investor Board

By Dhiladhila Magazine · Issue 20

The single-window investment agency is a well-studied idea. The research is clear about which versions work and which merely rebrand.

Namibia’s new investment board rests on an old and well-travelled idea: gather investment promotion, facilitation and aftercare behind one window and capital will find the country easier to enter. The model has a name in the development literature, the investment promotion agency, and a one-stop interface is its signature feature.

The theory is attractive and the evidence is mixed, which is precisely why it is worth reading before judging the board. Decades of study across many countries show that such agencies can raise investment, but only some of them, and only when they are built a particular way.

Three pillars, not one front desk

The World Bank’s framework for investment promotion rests on three pillars: corporate planning and sector prioritisation, an institutional framework for foreign investment, and investor services. A one-stop centre is the visible third pillar, but the research is blunt that the front desk fails without the other two behind it. An agency that markets everything to everyone tends to attract little.

Sector prioritisation is the discipline most often skipped. Choosing a handful of industries where a country has a real advantage, and building genuine expertise in them, consistently out-performs the scattergun promotion of a whole economy at once.

A one-stop shop is a pillar, not a strategy on its own.

Aftercare is where returns hide

If promotion gets the headlines, aftercare earns the money. The investment-promotion literature treats aftercare – staying with an investor after the deal, solving problems and encouraging reinvestment – as a core function with a clear business case, because existing investors are the cheapest source of the next project. The board’s explicit aftercare brief is therefore its most promising feature.

This is the quiet reversal in the theory. The prize is not only the marginal new entrant but the investor already present who expands because someone in government actually answered the phone.

The best new investment often comes from an investor you already have.

What the cross-country evidence shows

The numbers counsel measured expectations. Studies find wide variation between agencies: only a minority move investment at all, and those that do share features such as focus, autonomy and close private-sector links. Membership of the global agency network has been associated with materially higher inflows for countries at an early stage of the investment path, where guidance and best-practice exchange matter most.

Namibia sits in exactly that early-stage bracket, which is where a well-run agency has the most to add, and where a poorly-run one simply adds a logo to the same old queue.

The model can lift investment; the average agency does not.

The design questions that decide it

For the board, the theory turns into a checklist. Will it prioritise a few sectors or promote the whole economy. Will it be given the autonomy and the staff a serious agency needs. Will aftercare be resourced as a core function or treated as an afterthought once the launch photographs are taken.

These are not abstract questions. The difference between the agencies that raise investment and those that do not lies almost entirely in choices like these, made in the first years of an agency’s life.

The board’s founding choices, not its founding, will decide its record.

For a policymaker, an adviser or an investor reading the board’s early moves, the research offers a lens rather than a verdict: watch whether it prioritises sectors, guards its autonomy and resources aftercare, because those are the traits that separate agencies that work from those that merely exist. The decision for anyone engaging the board is whether to hold it to that evidence now, while its design is still being written.

Sources: The Namibian; The Effectiveness of Promotion Agencies at Attracting FDI (World Bank); Aftercare in Investment Promotion (UNCTAD Advisory Series)

By The Dhiladhila Desk

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